Business leader confidence hits record low - IoD

Confidence among business leaders fell sharply last month, a survey showed on Wednesday, as higher costs and the uncertain economic outlook weighed heavily.

Source: Sharecast

According to the Institute of Directors, the latest Directors’ Economic Confidence Index fell to -74 in September, from -61 in August. It is the lowest reading since the index resumed in July 2016.

Confidence in their own organisations also fell, dropping to -7 from 1 in August.

One of the worst-performing underlying indicators was cost expectations. That rose four points to 89, the highest reading since the measure was introduced in November 2017.

It was also two points ahead of the previous record high, seen in February this year.

The most significant cost, selected by 83% of respondents, was labour, followed by supply chain inflation and energy.

Headcount expectations also fell sharply, to -13 from -4, while investment inventions slid to -20 from -8.

Anna Leach, chief economist at the IoD, said: "Business leaders are calling for a reduction in government-generated costs, whether through a lower tax burden or lighter regulation.

"But crucially they are seeking a more coherent and credible plan for growth.

"The chancellor’s conference speech rightly reiterated the role that fiscal credibility has in providing the platform for growth. But we urgently need a genuinely growth-focused Budget that has business at its heart."

Labour costs have spiked this year, on the back of rises to employer National Insurance contributions and the minimum wage.

Rachel Reeves is due to present her Budget at the end of November, and is battling a number of headwinds.

As well as stagnant economic growth and weak sentiment, inflation remains stubbornly above target, government spending is soaring and borrowing costs are mounting.

Reeves is increasingly widely-expected to put up taxes, despite manifesto pledges to the contrary.

The IoD survey, which is based on 588 responses, was conducted between 12 and 29 September. Around a third of respondents run large or medium-sized businesses, with the rest in charge of small, micro or sole trader companies.

Compare our accounts

If you're looking to grow your money over the longer term (5+ years), we have a range of investment choices to help.

Bank of Scotland is not responsible for the content and accuracy of the Markets News articles. We may not share the views of the author. Understand the risks, please remember the value of your investment can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invest. We don't provide advice so if you are in any doubt about buying and selling shares or making your own investment decisions we recommend you seek advice from a suitably qualified Financial Advisor. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

Important legal information

Bank of Scotland Share Dealing Service is operated by Halifax Share Dealing Limited. Halifax Share Dealing Limited. Registered in England and Wales No. 3195646. Registered Office: Trinity Road, Halifax, West Yorkshire HX1 2RG. Authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, 12 Endeavour Square, London, E20 1JN under number 183332. A Member of the London Stock Exchange and an HM Revenue & Customs Approved ISA Manager.

Logo Allfunds

The information contained within this website is provided by Allfunds Digital, S.L.U. acting through its business division Digital Look Ltd unless otherwise stated. The information is not intended to be advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any of the shares, companies or investment vehicles mentioned, nor is it information meant to be a research recommendation. This is a solution powered by Allfunds Digital, S.L.U. acting through its business division Digital Look Ltd incorporating their prices, data news, charts, fundamentals and investor tools on this site. Terms and conditions apply. Prices and trades are provided by Allfunds Digital, S.L.U. acting through its business division Digital Look Ltd and are delayed by at least 15 minutes.

FE fundinfo Logo

Data provided by FE fundinfo. Care has been taken to ensure that the information is correct, but FE fundinfo neither warrants, represents nor guarantees the contents of information, nor does it accept any responsibility for errors, inaccuracies, omissions or any inconsistencies herein. Past performance does not predict future performance, it should not be the main or sole reason for making an investment decision. The value of investments and any income from them can fall as well as rise.

Refinitiv Logo

© 2025 Refinitiv, an LSEG business. All rights reserved.